Chaos
Screening Chaos theory (χ), the Non-Repeating Past Paradigm and the Implosive Edge Hypothesis, with an operational test in a live forecasting app.
Overview
Chaos gathers the theoretical line running from the Implosive Edge Hypothesis (IEH) and its Δ change measure, through the Non-Repeating Past Paradigm (PNP), to Screening Chaos: an attempt to define χ, what lies beyond a model's current expressive capacity, and ask whether traces of it are observable and usable. The Converted χ supplement takes the next step, asking whether χ can be converted into something a forecasting model can act on.
A limited, statistical version of that conversion is now running as an experimental module inside Philotica Forecast Studio, comparing baseline probability estimates against a χ-adjusted alternative on two live forecasting pilots. It is an early operational test, not a validation of the theory: more here as the work continues.
- Screening Chaos: Impact Assessment of the Chaos Function χ and Its Link to PNP (Zenodo)
- Supplement to Screening Chaos: Converted χ (Zenodo)
- Implosive Edge Hypothesis (IEH) and the Change Measure Δ (Zenodo)
- Non-Repeating Past Paradigm (PNP) v2.0 (Zenodo)
- IEH · Change Measure Δ (GitHub)
- Operational test (Philotica Forecast Studio)